Table 1 The incident cases and ASIR in 1990 and 2017 and its temporal trends
1990 | 2017 | 1990–2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incident cases No. *102 (95% UI) | ASIR per 100,000 No. (95% UI) | Incident cases No. *102 (95% UI) | ASIR per 100,000 No. (95% UI) | EAPC No. (95% CI) | |
Overall | 729.37 (558.01–793.7) | 1.43 (1.1–1.56) | 1011.33 (879.68–1187.46) | 1.29 (1.12–1.51) | − 0.51 (from − 0.57 to − 0.45) |
Sex | |||||
Female | 287.61 (212.52–321.94) | 1.1 (0.82–1.23) | 403.81 (344.46–483.68) | 1.03 (0.87–1.23) | -0.4 (from − 0.46 to − 0.33) |
Male | 441.76 (321.52–492.58) | 1.78 (1.31–2) | 607.51 (504.7–748.82) | 1.56 (1.29–1.91) | − 0.59 (from − 0.65 to − 0.52) |
Socio-demographic index | |||||
High SDI | 272.62 (205.49–293.66) | 2.57 (1.94–2.77) | 349.61 (319.69–464.2) | 2.82 (2.56–3.82) | 0.19 (0.02–0.36) |
High-middle SDI | 159.29 (106.83–191.53) | 1.43 (0.96–1.71) | 266.55 (206.21–292.54) | 1.79 (1.39–1.97) | 0.84 (0.6–1.08) |
Middle SDI | 106.75 (74.85–122.02) | 0.79 (0.56–0.9) | 165.29 (135.05–194.99) | 0.76 (0.62–0.89) | − 0.31 (− 0.66–0.04) |
Low-middle SDI | 113.41 (84.68–131.35) | 1.28 (1–1.51) | 151.78 (122.97–183.12) | 0.95 (0.78–1.15) | − 1.22 (from − 1.27 to − 1.16) |
Low SDI | 75.32 (54.46–90.43) | 1.34 (1–1.64) | 74.47 (62.97–101.86) | 0.7 (0.6–0.95) | − 2.58 (from − 2.66 to − 2.49) |
Region | |||||
Andean Latin America | 2.27 (1.94–2.76) | 0.74 (0.63–0.87) | 3.23 (2.71–4.01) | 0.55 (0.46–0.67) | − 0.96 (from − 1.08 to − 0.83) |
Australasia | 5.14 (3.82–5.97) | 2.38 (1.76–2.78) | 9.83 (7.85–11.79) | 3.26 (2.6–3.92) | 1.17 (0.94–1.4) |
Caribbean | 1.95 (1.65–2.55) | 0.6 (0.51–0.79) | 5.67 (2.96–7.07) | 1.16 (0.61–1.45) | 2.61 (1.95–3.27) |
Central Asia | 6.44 (5.07–7.57) | 1.01 (0.8–1.19) | 9.81 (8.15–11.44) | 1.07 (0.89–1.24) | 0.02 (− 0.14–0.18) |
Central Europe | 30.17 (23.4–33.29) | 2.32 (1.8–2.57) | 33.02 (29.14–40.17) | 2.88 (2.52–3.51) | 0.78 (0.73–0.83) |
Central Latin America | 12.51 (10.11–14.54) | 0.98 (0.8–1.13) | 22.26 (18.82–27.79) | 0.88 (0.75–1.1) | − 0.47 (from − 0.66 to − 0.29) |
Central Sub-Saharan Africa | 2.78 (2.07–3.84) | 0.73 (0.57–0.98) | 4.39 (3.51–5.88) | 0.54 (0.42–0.75) | − 1.17 (from − 1.26 to − 1.08) |
East Asia | 101.65 (55.81–126.45) | 0.88 (0.48–1.09) | 190.18 (135.5–216.38) | 1.18 (0.86–1.34) | 0.92 (0.32–1.52) |
Eastern Europe | 75.89 (47.6–96.16) | 3.31 (2.03–4.25) | 84.95 (74.1–107.26) | 3.99 (3.43–5.19) | 0.77 (0.53–1.01) |
Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa | 24.82 (18.06–31.49) | 1.64 (1.25–2.09) | 32.12 (23.46–44.47) | 1.04 (0.77–1.41) | − 1.94 (from − 2.08 to − 1.8) |
High-income Asia Pacific | 7.59 (6.61–9.95) | 0.4 (0.35–0.52) | 19.12 (13.33–21.99) | 0.86 (0.61–1) | 3.71 (3.38–4.05) |
High-income North America | 104 (76.35–114.3) | 3.37 (2.48–3.72) | 124.45 (105.69–181.54) | 3.23 (2.69–4.84) | − 0.66 (from − 0.98 to − 0.34) |
North Africa and Middle East | 35.99 (28.58–44.4) | 1.32 (1.08–1.69) | 84.81 (59.75–97.89) | 1.45 (1.03–1.65) | 0.58 (0.36–0.8) |
Oceania | 0.3 (0.24–0.38) | 0.61 (0.49–0.78) | 0.56 (0.39–0.7) | 0.54 (0.38–0.68) | − 0.24 (from − 0.36 to − 0.12) |
South Asia | 110.08 (79.04–128.65) | 1.16 (0.85–1.34) | 115.1 (96.77–147.09) | 0.68 (0.57–0.87) | − 2.1 (from − 2.18 to − 2.02) |
Southeast Asia | 28.26 (22.17–33.2) | 0.75 (0.59–0.9) | 34.96 (29.01–43.18) | 0.53 (0.44–0.65) | − 1.39 (from − 1.46 to − 1.32) |
Southern Latin America | 4.66 (4.06–5.94) | 0.96 (0.84–1.22) | 6.81 (5.67–9.51) | 0.95 (0.79–1.33) | − 0.16 (− 0.37–0.05) |
Southern Sub-Saharan Africa | 1.75 (1.34–2.03) | 0.43 (0.34–0.52) | 2.81 (1.96–3.26) | 0.4 (0.28–0.46) | − 0.18 (− 0.83–0.48) |
Tropical Latin America | 9.6 (8.18–11.77) | 0.75 (0.63–0.9) | 15.1 (12.48–18.39) | 0.65 (0.54–0.79) | − 0.38 (from − 0.47 to − 0.3) |
Western Europe | 134.79 (103.14–149.57) | 3.14 (2.39–3.51) | 167.97 (149–227.28) | 3.58 (3.18–4.96) | 0.53 (0.38–0.68) |
Western Sub-Saharan Africa | 28.72 (18.39–39.7) | 1.79 (1.28–2.36) | 44.19 (30.78–60.15) | 1.24 (0.91–1.69) | − 1.63 (from − 1.76 to − 1.51) |